Copa do Brasil 2026
KNOCKOUT OUTLOOK
Expected champion
Palmeiras
Win: 38.1%
Knockout bracket outlook
Predicted bracket based on up to 1,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
Final
draw TBD100%0%
SF
draw TBD59%41%
50%50%
Quartas de Final
draw TBD45%55%
66%34%
50%50%
50%50%
Oitavas de Final
2–00–4
20–24–0
40–01–0
10–00–1
02–01–2
30–22–1
21–10–1
11–11–0
23–02–3
50–33–2
30–01–0
10–00–1
00–03–1
30–01–3
10–00–2
00–02–0
25ª Fase
0–00–0
00–00–0
0pen 4-1
2–11–2
31–22–1
3pen 4-2
2–03–0
50–20–3
03–04–1
70–31–4
10–02–0
20–00–2
01–01–3
20–13–1
31–31–2
23–12–1
51–22–3
32–13–2
52–10–0
21–20–0
11–00–2
10–12–0
22–20–1
22–21–0
30–01–2
10–02–1
21–11–2
21–12–1
30–22–2
22–02–2
40–10–1
01–01–0
22–10–2
21–22–0
3Slot assignments reflect expected group outcomes. Best-third slots show the 8 most likely third-place qualifiers.
Knockout probability table
| # | Team | SF | Final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65.7% | 65.7% | 38.1% | |
| 2 | 55.4% | 55.4% | 26.1% | |
| 3 | 44.6% | 44.6% | 19.6% | |
| 4 | 34.3% | 34.3% | 16.2% |