Ceará
Ceará Relegation Chances 2026 — 34.1%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 20 of 38 · Rank #16 · 20 MP
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Ceará are 16th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 20 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 34.1% chance of relegation — with 18 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Ceará have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their relegation probability, Ceará's winner chance currently stands at 0.1%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Ceará's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.1%
- Promotion: 1.0%
- Relegation: 34.1%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | São Bernardo#12Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 7.7%Relegation: 7.8% | 3 - 4 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-07-22 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 0 - 1 |  CRB#8Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.8%Relegation: 3.7% |
| 2026-07-17 | América-MG#19Relegation: 94.1% | 1 - 1 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-07-13 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 0 - 0 |  Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4% |
| 2026-07-04 | Goiás#9Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.6%Relegation: 3.8% | 2 - 0 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-06-28 | Juventude#3Winner: 12.5%Promotion: 51.7%Relegation: 0.2% | 2 - 0 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-06-20 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 0 - 1 |  Botafogo-SP#15Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 2.4%Relegation: 19.6% |
| 2026-06-15 | Criciúma#1Winner: 41.1%Promotion: 82.5% | 1 - 1 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-06-10 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 2 - 1 |  Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0% |
| 2026-05-31 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 1 - 2 |  Operário-PR#2Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 51.0%Relegation: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-23 | Novorizontino#6Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 36.5%Relegation: 0.5% | 2 - 1 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-05-17 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 2 - 1 |  Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-05-09 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 0 - 1 |  Atlético-GO#7Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 21.8%Relegation: 1.7% |
| 2026-05-03 | Sport#10Winner: 1.3%Promotion: 12.4%Relegation: 4.3% | 2 - 0 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-04-26 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 3 - 3 |  Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-04-19 | Londrina#17Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 46.8% | 0 - 0 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-04-11 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 1 - 0 |  Náutico#13Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 14.3% |
| 2026-04-04 | Cuiabá#14Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 3.3%Relegation: 17.0% | 0 - 2 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-04-01 | Ponte Preta#20Relegation: 96.9% | 1 - 1 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% |
| 2026-03-21 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 1 - 1 | São Bernardo#12Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 7.7%Relegation: 7.8% |