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Ceará Relegation Chances 2026 — 15.2%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 13 of 38 · Rank #14 · 13 MP

Ceará Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
1.8%
Winner
15.2%
Relegation
#14
Position
WLLWD
Last 5 matches
Ceará are an outside contender for Relegation at 15.2%, currently ranked 14th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Ceará are 14th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 13 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 15.2% chance of relegation — with 25 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Ceará have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their relegation probability, Ceará's winner chance currently stands at 1.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Ceará's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 1.8%
  • Promotion: 11.9%
  • Relegation: 15.2%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:

← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%10:00 PMBotafogo-SP#16Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 34.4%
43%
34%
Juventude#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 8.4%2:00 PMCeará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
63%
13%
Goiás#12Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 15.9%Relegation: 11.3%11:00 PMCeará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
53%
23%
Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%11:30 PMAthletic Club#11Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.3%
43%
34%
América-MG#20Promotion: 0.3%Relegation: 76.2%10:00 PMCeará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
24%
48%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-15Criciúma#6Winner: 6.4%Promotion: 28.4%Relegation: 4.8%1 - 1Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
2026-06-10Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%2 - 1Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
2026-05-31Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%1 - 2Operário-PR#8Winner: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relegation: 8.9%
2026-05-23Novorizontino#5Winner: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relegation: 4.8%2 - 1Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
2026-05-17Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%2 - 1Fortaleza#4Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relegation: 4.4%
2026-05-09Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%0 - 1Atlético-GO#13Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relegation: 15.1%
2026-05-03Sport#3Winner: 14.2%Promotion: 46.7%Relegation: 1.6%2 - 0Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
2026-04-26Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%3 - 3Vila Nova#2Winner: 18.9%Promotion: 54.0%Relegation: 1.0%
2026-04-19Londrina#17Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 2.2%Relegation: 46.2%0 - 0Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
2026-04-11Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%1 - 0Náutico#7Winner: 5.4%Promotion: 25.4%Relegation: 5.9%
2026-04-04Cuiabá#10Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.4%0 - 2Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
2026-04-01Ponte Preta#19Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.7%Relegation: 65.3%1 - 1Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%
2026-03-21Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%1 - 1São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0%