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Ceará Promotion Chances 2026 — 20.1%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 7 of 38 · Rank #9 · 7 MP

Ceará Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
4.5%
Winner
15.7%
Relegation
#9
Position
WWDDL
Last 5 matches
Ceará are in realistic contention for Promotion at 20.1%, currently ranked 9th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Ceará are 9th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 7 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 20.1% chance of promotion — with 31 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Ceará have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their promotion probability, Ceará's winner chance currently stands at 4.5%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Ceará's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 4.5%
  • Promotion: 20.1%
  • Relegation: 15.7%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:

Promotion Race →

← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds

See also:

Vila Nova Promotion ChancesOperário-PR 2026 Season OddsCriciúma 2026 Season OddsJuventude 2026 Season OddsNáutico 2026 Season OddsNovorizontino 2026 Season OddsAvaí 2026 Season OddsBotafogo-SP 2026 Season OddsAthletic Club 2026 Season OddsAtlético-GO 2026 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%3:00 PMFortaleza#1Winner: 12.9%Promotion: 40.4%Relegation: 5.4%
51%
24%
Novorizontino#10Winner: 3.6%Promotion: 17.0%Relegation: 18.9%3:00 PMCeará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%
34%
37%
Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%3:00 PMOperário-PR#5Winner: 8.1%Promotion: 29.9%Relegation: 9.4%
51%
24%
Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%3:00 PMAvaí#11Winner: 3.5%Promotion: 17.0%Relegation: 18.8%
51%
24%
Criciúma#6Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 25.4%Relegation: 11.8%3:00 PMCeará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%
41%
31%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-03Sport#3Winner: 10.1%Promotion: 34.5%Relegation: 7.4%2 - 0Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%
2026-04-26Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%3 - 3Vila Nova#4Winner: 10.0%Promotion: 34.2%Relegation: 7.4%
2026-04-19Londrina#19Winner: 1.1%Promotion: 6.8%Relegation: 38.0%0 - 0Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%
2026-04-11Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%1 - 0Náutico#8Winner: 4.9%Promotion: 21.0%Relegation: 15.0%
2026-04-04Cuiabá#15Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 12.9%Relegation: 24.2%0 - 2Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%
2026-04-01Ponte Preta#16Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 11.2%Relegation: 27.4%1 - 1Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%
2026-03-21Ceará#9Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 15.7%1 - 1São Bernardo#2Winner: 10.8%Promotion: 36.0%Relegation: 6.9%