Flamengo Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Flamengo are the clear favourite for Copa Libertadores with a 93.7% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 36.4% |
| Libertadores | 93.7% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 4.9% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 1.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Flamengo are currently 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (13W 6D 3L, 45 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 93.7%, Flamengo are currently a strong contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Flamengo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Flamengo's probability of Copa Libertadores has climbed from 81.4% to 93.7%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Flamengo achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 97.4% |
| Athletico-PR | 69.8% |
| Fluminense | 41.8% |
| Cruzeiro | 27.1% |
| Bahia | 14.1% |
| Bragantino | 14.3% |
| Atlético-MG | 14.4% |
| Corinthians | 7.5% |
| Coritiba | 5.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.