Grêmio Copa Sulamericana Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Grêmio remain in realistic contention for Copa Sulamericana at 28.8%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Libertadores | 0.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 2.8% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 28.8% |
| Relegation | 28.4% |
Grêmio are currently 14th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (6W 7D 9L, 25 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 28.8%, Grêmio are currently a realistic contender for Copa Sulamericana. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Grêmio's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Grêmio's probability of Copa Sulamericana has climbed from 25% to 28.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Grêmio achieves Copa Sulamericana across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Copa Sulamericana odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.4% |
| Flamengo | 1.4% |
| Athletico-PR | 11.5% |
| Fluminense | 28.9% |
| Cruzeiro | 41.1% |
| Bahia | 51.3% |
| Bragantino | 50.5% |
| Atlético-MG | 50.5% |
| Corinthians | 54.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.