Mirassol Relegation Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Mirassol are currently 17th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (6W 5D 11L, 23 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 41.9%, Mirassol are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Mirassol's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Mirassol's probability of relegation has climbed from 26.8% to 41.9%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Mirassol achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →