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West Ham Relegation Chances 2026 — 31.7%

Premier League 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #17 · 34 MP

West Ham Premier League 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
31.7%
Relegation
#17
Position
DLWDW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

West Ham are 17th in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 31.7% chance of relegation — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, West Ham have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how West Ham's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-10-04
  • Champions League: 0.0%Since 2025-12-02
  • Europa League: 0.0%Since 2025-12-06
  • Relegation: 31.7%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2%2:00 PMWest Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
43%
31%
West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%3:30 PMArsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9%
18%
60%
Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%6:00 PMWest Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
49%
28%
West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%3:00 PMLeeds United#15Relegation: 2.1%
18%
60%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-25West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%2 - 1Everton#11
2026-04-20Crystal Palace#130 - 0West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-04-10West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%4 - 0Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9%
2026-03-22Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%2 - 0West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-03-14West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%1 - 1Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-03-04Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1%0 - 1West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-02-28Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%5 - 2West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-02-21West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%0 - 0Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4%
2026-02-10West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%1 - 1Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%
2026-02-07Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9%0 - 2West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-01-31Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%3 - 2West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-01-24West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%3 - 1Sunderland#12
2026-01-17Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8%1 - 2West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-01-06West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%1 - 2Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%
2026-01-03Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9%3 - 0West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-12-30West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%2 - 2Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%
2025-12-27West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%0 - 1Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1%
2025-12-20Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 0West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-12-14West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%2 - 3Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%
2025-12-07Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%1 - 1West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-12-04Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%1 - 1West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-11-30West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%0 - 2Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-11-22Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4%2 - 2West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-11-08West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%3 - 2Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9%
2025-11-02West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%3 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-10-24Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1%2 - 1West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-10-20West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%0 - 2Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2%
2025-10-04Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9%2 - 0West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-09-29Everton#111 - 1West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-09-20West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%1 - 2Crystal Palace#13
2025-09-13West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%0 - 3Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8%
2025-08-31Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%0 - 3West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2025-08-22West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%1 - 5Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-08-16Sunderland#123 - 0West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%