São Paulo Copa Sulamericana Chances
Brasileirão 2026
São Paulo remain in realistic contention for Copa Sulamericana at 41.2%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Libertadores | 2.3% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 6.0% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 41.2% |
| Relegation | 15.2% |
São Paulo are currently 13th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (7W 6D 9L, 27 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 41.2%, São Paulo are currently a realistic contender for Copa Sulamericana. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, São Paulo's probability of Copa Sulamericana has dropped from 44.7% to 41.2%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves Copa Sulamericana across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Copa Sulamericana odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.4% |
| Flamengo | 1.4% |
| Athletico-PR | 11.5% |
| Fluminense | 28.9% |
| Cruzeiro | 41.1% |
| Bahia | 51.3% |
| Bragantino | 50.5% |
| Atlético-MG | 50.5% |
| Corinthians | 54.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.