Vitória Relegation Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Vitória are an outside contender for relegation, with a 12.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Libertadores | 2.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 7.1% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 44.8% |
| Relegation | 12.0% |
Vitória are currently 12th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (8W 5D 10L, 29 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 12%, Vitória are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Vitória's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Vitória's probability of relegation has dropped from 17.5% to 12%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Vitória achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 0.0% |
| Fluminense | 0.1% |
| Cruzeiro | 0.4% |
| Bahia | 1.7% |
| Bragantino | 2.0% |
| Atlético-MG | 2.0% |
| Corinthians | 4.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.