
Athletico-PR Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Athletico-PR are strong contenders for Copa Libertadores, sitting at 68.0%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 1.2% |
| Libertadores | 68.0% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 24.9% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 7.1% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Athletico-PR are currently 3rd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 28 matches played (14W 7D 7L, 49 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 68%, Athletico-PR are currently a strong contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Athletico-PR's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Athletico-PR's probability of Copa Libertadores has climbed from 57.8% to 68%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Athletico-PR achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Flamengo | 99.9% |
| Palmeiras | 99.1% |
| Fluminense | 53.8% |
| Bahia | 30.7% |
| Cruzeiro | 26.8% |
| Atlético-MG | 13.7% |
| Santos | 5.6% |
| Coritiba | 1.2% |
| São Paulo | 0.5% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.