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Birmingham Playoff Chances 2027 — 29.2%

Championship 26/27 · Round 11 of 46 · Rank #4 · 11 MP

Birmingham Championship 26/27 — Key Insights
9.2%
Win
1.6%
Releg
#4
Position
WDWLL
Last 5 matches
Birmingham are in realistic contention for Playoff at 29.2%, currently ranked 4th — updated after every match.

Updated at

Birmingham are 4th in the Championship 26/27 2027 season after 11 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 29.2% chance of playoff — with 35 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Championship 26/27 matches, Birmingham have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their playoff probability, Birmingham's win chance currently stands at 9.2%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Championship 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Birmingham's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 9.2%
  • Promo: 17.7%
  • Playoff: 29.2%
  • Releg: 1.6%

More analysis

← View all Championship 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Cardiff#19Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.7%Playoff: 7.7%Releg: 17.6%2:00 PMBirmingham#4Win: 9.2%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 29.2%Releg: 1.6%
27%
47%
Lincoln#18Win: 0.8%Promo: 2.1%Playoff: 8.6%Releg: 16.4%12:30 PMBirmingham#4Win: 9.2%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 29.2%Releg: 1.6%
13%
65%
Birmingham#4Win: 9.2%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 29.2%Releg: 1.6%8:00 PMMillwall#12Win: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.7%Releg: 7.4%
52%
24%
Birmingham#4Win: 9.2%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 29.2%Releg: 1.6%3:00 PMSwansea City#1Win: 17.1%Promo: 29.8%Playoff: 32.8%Releg: 0.5%
44%
30%
Stoke City#6Win: 6.3%Promo: 13.1%Playoff: 26.7%Releg: 2.2%3:00 PMBirmingham#4Win: 9.2%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 29.2%Releg: 1.6%
33%
39%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-10-17Birmingham3 - 0QPR
2026-10-13Birmingham4 - 0Preston
2026-10-10West Brom0 - 1Birmingham
2026-09-19Birmingham2 - 2Middlesbrough#3Win: 13.3%Promo: 24.4%Playoff: 32.5%Releg: 0.8%
2026-09-12Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0%1 - 2Birmingham
2026-09-09Norwich City#21Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.9%Playoff: 4.6%Releg: 27.3%2 - 1Birmingham
2026-09-06Birmingham2 - 2Wolverhampton#7Win: 5.1%Promo: 11.0%Playoff: 24.4%Releg: 3.1%
2026-09-01Birmingham1 - 1Southampton#8Win: 4.6%Promo: 9.7%Playoff: 22.4%Releg: 4.1%
2026-08-28Wrexham#14Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 13.3%Releg: 9.5%1 - 2Birmingham
2026-08-22Birmingham2 - 2Bristol City#16Win: 1.6%Promo: 3.9%Playoff: 13.0%Releg: 9.7%
2026-08-15Sheffield Utd0 - 0Birmingham