Derby County
Derby County Releg Chances 2027 — 44.0%
Championship 26/27 · Round 11 of 46 · Rank #23 · 11 MP
Updated at
Derby County are 23rd in the Championship 26/27 2027 season after 11 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 44.0% chance of releg — with 35 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Championship 26/27 matches, Derby County have recorded 2 draws, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their releg probability, Derby County's win chance currently stands at 0.1%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Championship 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Derby County's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.1%
- Promo: 0.3%
- Playoff: 1.9%
- Releg: 44.0%
More analysis
← View all Championship 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
11:30 AMDerby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0%
3:00 PMDerby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0%7:45 PM
Norwich City#21Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.9%Playoff: 4.6%Releg: 27.3%8:00 PM
Bolton#15Win: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 12.9%Releg: 9.8%
12:30 PMDerby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0%Latest News
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% | 0 - 1 |  Stoke City#6Win: 6.3%Promo: 13.1%Playoff: 26.7%Releg: 2.2% |
| 2026-10-14 | QPR | 4 - 1 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% | 1 - 1 |  Wrexham#14Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 13.3%Releg: 9.5% |
| 2026-09-19 | Burnley#22Win: 0.2%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 3.5%Releg: 32.3% | 1 - 1 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% |
| 2026-09-12 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% | 1 - 2 |  Birmingham |
| 2026-09-09 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% | 0 - 1 |  West Brom |
| 2026-09-05 | West Ham#2Win: 14.6%Promo: 26.2%Playoff: 32.1%Releg: 0.7% | 3 - 0 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% |
| 2026-09-01 | Portsmouth#13Win: 2.2%Promo: 5.3%Playoff: 15.6%Releg: 7.5% | 0 - 2 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% |
| 2026-08-29 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% | 0 - 3 |  Swansea City#1Win: 17.1%Promo: 29.8%Playoff: 32.8%Releg: 0.5% |
| 2026-08-22 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% | 2 - 2 |  Cardiff#19Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.7%Playoff: 7.7%Releg: 17.6% |
| 2026-08-15 | Charlton | 2 - 1 | Derby County#23Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 44.0% |