
Corinthians Relegation Chances 2026
Brasileirão 2026
Corinthians face long odds for relegation from the Brasileirão, with only a 4.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Relegation | 4.0% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 54.1% |
| Libertadores | 7.5% |
| Title | 0.1% |
Corinthians are currently 9th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (8W 8D 7L, 32 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 4%, Corinthians are currently a long shot for relegation from the Brasileirão. The model accounts for Corinthians's points deficit, goal difference, and all remaining direct clashes with the other teams in the relegation zone. Over the last 2 rounds, Corinthians's probability of relegation from the Brasileirão has dropped from 7% to 4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Corinthians achieves relegation from the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — relegation odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 0.0% |
| Fluminense | 0.1% |
| Cruzeiro | 0.4% |
| Bahia | 1.7% |
| Bragantino | 2.0% |
| Atlético-MG | 2.0% |
| Coritiba | 5.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.