Corinthians Relegation Chances 2026
Brasileirão 2026
Corinthians remain in realistic contention for relegation from the Brasileirão at 24.2%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Relegation | 24.2% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 34.4% |
| Libertadores | 5.2% |
| Title | 0.3% |
Corinthians are currently 14th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 13 matches played (3W 6D 4L, 15 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 24.2%, Corinthians are currently a realistic contender for relegation from the Brasileirão. The model accounts for Corinthians's points deficit, goal difference, and all remaining direct clashes with the other teams in the relegation zone.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Corinthians achieves relegation from the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — relegation odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.3% |
| Fluminense | 0.5% |
| São Paulo | 2.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 2.8% |
| Bahia | 3.0% |
| Coritiba | 8.3% |
| Botafogo | 10.1% |
| Bragantino | 13.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.