Corinthians Relegation Chances 2026

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Corinthians are currently 15th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 28 matches played (8W 8D 12L, 32 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 21.8%, Corinthians are currently a realistic contender for relegation from the Brasileirão. The model accounts for Corinthians's points deficit, goal difference, and all remaining direct clashes with the other teams in the relegation zone. Over the last round, Corinthians's probability of relegation from the Brasileirão has climbed from 11.7% to 21.8%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Corinthians achieves relegation from the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026 — relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →