
Corinthians Relegation Chances 2026
Brasileirão 2026
Corinthians are an outside contender for relegation from the Brasileirão, with a 13.0% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Relegation | 13.0% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 41.8% |
| Libertadores | 8.7% |
| Title | 0.4% |
Corinthians are currently 10th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 18 matches played (6W 6D 6L, 24 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 13%, Corinthians are currently a outside contender for relegation from the Brasileirão. The model accounts for Corinthians's points deficit, goal difference, and all remaining direct clashes with the other teams in the relegation zone.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Corinthians achieves relegation from the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — relegation odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.1% |
| Fluminense | 0.7% |
| Athletico-PR | 1.1% |
| Bragantino | 1.7% |
| Coritiba | 6.4% |
| Bahia | 4.3% |
| São Paulo | 8.5% |
| Atlético-MG | 11.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.