
Fluminense Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Fluminense remain in realistic contention for Copa Libertadores at 41.8%.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 2.0% |
| Libertadores | 41.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 26.9% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 28.9% |
| Relegation | 0.1% |
Fluminense are currently 4th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (10W 8D 5L, 38 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 41.8%, Fluminense are currently a realistic contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fluminense's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Fluminense's probability of Copa Libertadores has climbed from 35.7% to 41.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fluminense achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 97.4% |
| Flamengo | 93.7% |
| Athletico-PR | 69.8% |
| Cruzeiro | 27.1% |
| Bahia | 14.1% |
| Bragantino | 14.3% |
| Atlético-MG | 14.4% |
| Corinthians | 7.5% |
| Coritiba | 5.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.