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Fluminense

Fluminense Relegation Chances

Brasileirão 2026

2.0%
Winner
41.8%
Libertadores
26.9%
Libertadores Qualification
28.9%
Copa Sulamericana
0.1%
Relegation

Fluminense face long odds for relegation, with only a 0.1% probability.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 23Last updated: 15 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner2.0%
Libertadores41.8%
Libertadores Qualification26.9%
Copa Sulamericana28.9%
Relegation0.1%

Fluminense are currently 4th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (10W 8D 5L, 38 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 0.1%, Fluminense are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fluminense's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Fluminense's probability of relegation has dropped from 0.6% to 0.1%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fluminense achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →

View full Fluminense stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.