Brasileirão 2026·2026-03-15

Coritiba on the Rise as Fluminense Eyes Libertadores Glory

· Round-up

In the wake of an action-packed Round 6 in the Brasileirão, several teams have experienced significant shifts in their championship probabilities. Coritiba has surged forward, climbing to 6th in the standings after a narrow 1-0 victory over Remo, which has bolstered their Libertadores qualification chances to 25.5%. This marks a formidable rise for the club, whose probability of relegation has also decreased to 10.7%. The triumph has placed Coritiba firmly in the conversation for a potential championship run, now with a 6.0% chance.

Fluminense's thrilling 3-2 win over Athletico-PR has enhanced their Libertadores prospects significantly. With an 8.1% increase, their qualification probability now stands at 40.6%, positioning them as strong contenders in the upper echelons of the league. Meanwhile, Palmeiras also saw their Libertadores chances improve, climbing to 40.8% following their 1-0 victory against Mirassol. Both of these clubs are now eyeing the coveted spots that would secure their participation in South America's prestigious tournament.

In contrast, Internacional's struggles continued with a 1-0 defeat to Bahia, pushing them further into relegation worries with their probability now at 47.0%. The loss has also dimmed their Libertadores and overall qualification hopes. Similarly, Remo's defeat has exacerbated their relegation concerns, now at 41.9%.

As the season progresses, the focus will be on whether Coritiba can maintain their upward momentum and if Fluminense can capitalize on their growing Libertadores chances. The next rounds promise to be crucial as teams jostle for position and fight to avoid the drop.