Skip to main content
São Paulo

São Paulo Winner Chances

Brasileirão 2026

0.0%
Winner
0.5%
Libertadores
3.0%
Libertadores Qualification
64.8%
Copa Sulamericana
3.0%
Relegation

São Paulo have no remaining chance of winning the title according to the model.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 28Last updated: 2 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.0%
Libertadores0.5%
Libertadores Qualification3.0%
Copa Sulamericana64.8%
Relegation3.0%

São Paulo are currently 10th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 28 matches played (10W 6D 12L, 36 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

São Paulo have no remaining mathematical chance of winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. São Paulo's probability of winning the title has held steady around 0% over the last round.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Winner odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →

View full São Paulo stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.