Vasco Relegation Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Vasco are currently 19th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (5W 7D 10L, 22 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 52.8%, Vasco are currently a strong contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Vasco's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Vasco's probability of relegation has climbed from 42.3% to 52.8%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Vasco achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →