Watford
Watford Releg Chances 2027 — 19.5%
Championship 26/27 · Round 11 of 46 · Rank #20 · 11 MP
Updated at
Watford are 20th in the Championship 26/27 2027 season after 11 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 19.5% chance of releg — with 35 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Championship 26/27 matches, Watford have recorded 1 win, 4 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their releg probability, Watford's win chance currently stands at 0.6%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Championship 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Watford's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.6%
- Promo: 1.5%
- Playoff: 7.0%
- Releg: 19.5%
More analysis
← View all Championship 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
2:00 PMWatford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5%
12:30 PMWatford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5%
3:00 PM
Middlesbrough#3Win: 13.3%Promo: 24.4%Playoff: 32.5%Releg: 0.8%
3:00 PMWatford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5%Latest News
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Ipswich's Promotion Hopes Dwindle as Derby and Middlesbrough Shine in Championship Race
Round-upAs the Championship season nears its conclusion, Round 45 brought significant shifts in playoff and promotion probabilities, with Ipswich Town's promotion chanc…
Ipswich Town Boosts Promotion Hopes with Victory Over Norwich City as Middlesbrough Falters
Round-upIpswich Town has taken a significant step towards promotion after their decisive 2-0 victory over Norwich City. This win has increased their promotion probabili…
Wrexham and Watford Draw Leaves Promotion Hopes in the Balance
Match ReportIn a closely contested match at Vicarage Road, Watford and Wrexham played to a 1-1 draw, leaving both teams with mixed feelings as they continue their push towa…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% | 2 - 0 |  Charlton |
| 2026-10-13 | Cardiff#19Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.7%Playoff: 7.7%Releg: 17.6% | 5 - 1 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% |
| 2026-10-10 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% | 0 - 4 |  Burnley#22Win: 0.2%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 3.5%Releg: 32.3% |
| 2026-09-18 | Bristol City#16Win: 1.6%Promo: 3.9%Playoff: 13.0%Releg: 9.7% | 1 - 0 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% |
| 2026-09-12 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% | 1 - 2 |  Stoke City#6Win: 6.3%Promo: 13.1%Playoff: 26.7%Releg: 2.2% |
| 2026-09-08 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% | 2 - 1 |  Preston |
| 2026-09-05 | West Brom | 1 - 0 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% |
| 2026-09-01 | Swansea City#1Win: 17.1%Promo: 29.8%Playoff: 32.8%Releg: 0.5% | 2 - 0 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% |
| 2026-08-29 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% | 1 - 1 |  West Ham#2Win: 14.6%Promo: 26.2%Playoff: 32.1%Releg: 0.7% |
| 2026-08-22 | Wrexham#14Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 13.3%Releg: 9.5% | 1 - 1 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% |
| 2026-08-16 | Watford#20Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 7.0%Releg: 19.5% | 2 - 1 |  Southampton#8Win: 4.6%Promo: 9.7%Playoff: 22.4%Releg: 4.1% |