Cruzeiro Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Cruzeiro remain in realistic contention for Copa Libertadores at 26.8%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.1% |
| Libertadores | 26.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 37.8% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 35.2% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Cruzeiro are currently 6th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 28 matches played (13W 6D 9L, 45 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 26.8%, Cruzeiro are currently a realistic contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Cruzeiro's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Cruzeiro's probability of Copa Libertadores has climbed from 21.1% to 26.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Cruzeiro achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Flamengo | 99.9% |
| Palmeiras | 99.1% |
| Athletico-PR | 68.0% |
| Fluminense | 53.8% |
| Bahia | 30.7% |
| Atlético-MG | 13.7% |
| Santos | 5.6% |
| Coritiba | 1.2% |
| São Paulo | 0.5% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.