Palmeiras Winner Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Palmeiras remain in realistic contention for winning the title at 27.0%.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 27.0% |
| Libertadores | 99.1% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 0.9% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Palmeiras are currently 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 28 matches played (16W 9D 3L, 57 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 27%, Palmeiras are currently a realistic contender for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Palmeiras's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Palmeiras's probability of winning the title has dropped from 39.6% to 27%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Palmeiras achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Winner odds for every team
| Flamengo | 71.1% |
| Athletico-PR | 1.2% |
| Fluminense | 0.5% |
| Bahia | 0.2% |
| Cruzeiro | 0.1% |
| Atlético-MG | 0.0% |
| Santos | 0.0% |
| Coritiba | 0.0% |
| São Paulo | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.