Corinthians Libertadores Qualification Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Corinthians face long odds for Copa Libertadores qualification, with only a 1.1% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Libertadores | 0.1% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 1.1% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 36.4% |
| Relegation | 15.8% |
Corinthians are currently 14th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 27 matches played (8W 8D 11L, 32 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 1.1%, Corinthians are currently a long shot for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Corinthians's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Corinthians's probability of Copa Libertadores qualification has dropped from 2.4% to 1.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Corinthians achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team
| Flamengo | 0.2% |
| Palmeiras | 0.5% |
| Athletico-PR | 29.2% |
| Bahia | 30.6% |
| Fluminense | 34.8% |
| Cruzeiro | 32.7% |
| Atlético-MG | 26.2% |
| Coritiba | 13.2% |
| Bragantino | 12.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.