Flamengo Winner Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Flamengo are the clear favourite for winning the title with a 80.9% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 80.9% |
| Libertadores | 100.0% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 0.0% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Flamengo are currently 1st in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 34 matches played (23W 7D 4L, 76 pts).
Probability History
What This Means
At 80.9%, Flamengo are currently a strong contender for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Flamengo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Flamengo's probability of winning the title has climbed from 78.7% to 80.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures with a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference and recent form. The percentage shown is how often Flamengo achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons, and it updates automatically.
Brasileirão 2026: Winner odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 19.1% |
| Cruzeiro | 0.0% |
| Fluminense | 0.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 0.0% |
| Bahia | 0.0% |
| Atlético-MG | 0.0% |
| Bragantino | 0.0% |
| Santos | 0.0% |
| São Paulo | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.