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Fluminense

Fluminense Libertadores Chances

Brasileirão 2026

0.5%
Winner
53.8%
↓ -1.2% since last round
Libertadores
32.7%
Libertadores Qualification
13.5%
Copa Sulamericana
0.0%
Relegation

Fluminense are strong contenders for Copa Libertadores, sitting at 53.8%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 28Last updated: 2 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.5%
Libertadores53.8%
Libertadores Qualification32.7%
Copa Sulamericana13.5%
Relegation0.0%

Fluminense are currently 4th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 28 matches played (13W 9D 6L, 48 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 53.8%, Fluminense are currently a strong contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fluminense's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Fluminense's probability of Copa Libertadores has climbed from 43.2% to 53.8%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fluminense achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team

Flamengo99.9%
Palmeiras99.1%
Athletico-PR68.0%
Bahia30.7%
Cruzeiro26.8%
Atlético-MG13.7%
Santos5.6%
Coritiba1.2%
São Paulo0.5%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →

View full Fluminense stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.