
Flamengo Title Chances 2026
Brasileirão 2026
Flamengo are the clear favourite for winning the Brasileirão title with a 80.9% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
Full Probability Breakdown
| Title | 80.9% |
| Libertadores | 100.0% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Flamengo are currently 1st in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 34 matches played (23W 7D 4L, 76 pts).
Probability History
What This Means
At 80.9%, Flamengo are currently a strong contender for winning the Brasileirão title. Flamengo's title probability is driven by their points total, goal difference, and the simulated performance of every rival across the remaining fixtures. Over the last round, Flamengo's probability of winning the Brasileirão title has climbed from 78.7% to 80.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures with a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference and recent form. The percentage shown is how often Flamengo achieves winning the Brasileirão title across all those simulated seasons, and it updates automatically.
Brasileirão 2026: title odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 19.1% |
| Cruzeiro | 0.0% |
| Fluminense | 0.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 0.0% |
| Bahia | 0.0% |
| Atlético-MG | 0.0% |
| Bragantino | 0.0% |
| Santos | 0.0% |
| São Paulo | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.