Flamengo Title Chances 2026
Brasileirão 2026
Flamengo are an outside contender for winning the Brasileirão title, with a 18.7% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Title | 18.7% |
| Libertadores | 75.3% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 10.9% |
| Relegation | 0.1% |
Flamengo are currently 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 17 matches played (10W 4D 3L, 34 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 18.7%, Flamengo are currently a outside contender for winning the Brasileirão title. Flamengo's title probability is driven by their points total, goal difference, and the simulated performance of every rival across the remaining fixtures.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Flamengo achieves winning the Brasileirão title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — title odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 62.8% |
| Fluminense | 5.5% |
| Athletico-PR | 4.2% |
| Bragantino | 3.2% |
| Coritiba | 1.0% |
| Bahia | 1.6% |
| São Paulo | 0.7% |
| Atlético-MG | 0.4% |
| Corinthians | 0.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.